The exemplars present evidence-informed interventions implemented by higher education institutions in Ireland to support student retention and progression across the undergraduate lifecycle.

HEI NameAtlantic Technological University
Exemplar TitleREAL Analytics: Making Learning Trajectories Visible, Measurable and Responsive at Scale
Focus
  • First-year students
  • New entrants
  • Early intervention initiative
  • Transition focus
  • Targeted initiative (specific student cohort/faculty)
  • Institution-wide initiative
  • Institution Policy
  • Other
Other focus- Intelligent assessment design - Self-regulated learning and student agency - Disability and inclusion infrastructure (UDL)
Theme
  • Assessment & Examination
  • Other
Other themeIntegrates data analytics and self-regulated learning within intelligent assessment design
National/Institutional Context
  • ATU Performance Agreement 2024–2028 (Indicator 1.1: reduce non-progression from 25% to 21%)
  • ATU Strategic Plan 2024–2028 (Guiding Lights: Enabling Education, Engaged Research, Connected Ecosystem, Organisational Transformation)
  • National Access Plan 2022–2028 (DARE, DEIS, regional equity)
  • QQI Rethinking Assessment (REAL Toolkit, QQI 10th Anniversary Grant)
  • AQAE012 Reasonable Accommodations Policy (Academic Council, December 2024)
  • CINNTE 2024 institutional review (Recommendations 6 and 8: enhanced data analytics on assessment, retention and progression)
Overview of Initiative

ATU serves Ireland’s only EU Transition Region. Identifying early signs of difficulty from the opening weeks matters: it allows support to be offered before students fall behind.

Designed from the ground up by lecturers, for lecturer use, REAL Analytics was developed around a simple observation: student progression is shaped not only by academic performance, but also by how well students regulate their own learning during the semester. The system supports both.

Assessments contribute a critical signal. STACK and Formulas questions form part of graded continuous assessment in first-year Science and Computing, not an optional add-on, capturing algebraic reasoning, computational workflows and laboratory data.

Each student sees their own Moodle view: an On Track or Needs Attention indicator, a weekly self-regulated learning (SRL) reflection, and a confidence measure they update themselves. Nineteen per cent self-identify for support before the model flags them.

By Weeks 5 to 7, the model identifies 89% of off-track trajectories. Module coordinators follow up through existing student support structures; disability and learning support is integrated, so accommodations are applied without repeated disclosure.

Aim and objectives of initiative

To make learning trajectories visible, measurable, and responsive at scale, through evidence that enables students to understand, shape, and regulate their own progression.

Objective 1: Detect off-track learning trajectories through behavioural, engagement, and linguistic data, enabling intervention before academic failure becomes visible.

Objective 2: Enable learners to understand, monitor, and regulate their own learning trajectories, while ensuring inclusive, equitable support through integrated, GDPR-aligned infrastructure.

Objective 3: To strengthen the predictive and explanatory power of REAL Analytics by integrating advanced self-efficacy measurement, evaluating its contribution within the machine learning pipeline, and establishing causal evidence for trajectory-based interventions.

Monitoring & Oversight

At module level, the assessment system captures structured interaction data, with engagement visible to educators through Power BI dashboards. At student level, the Moodle view returns the On Track or Needs Attention indicator to the student alongside a confidence score and a weekly reflection; staff see the same indicator, and automated notifications go to named role owners when key thresholds are met. At institutional level, retention and pass rates report through School programme boards and the TSAF Work Package 5 steering group.

Data & Evidence of Impact

Three signals show the system is working.

  1. Behavioural: ∼2,000 interactions per student annually, sevenfold the standard module rate, supported by an 8,208-question STACK library.
  2. Qualitative: 90–92% NGSE completion across Year 1 cohorts; NLP surfaces the why behind each prediction.
  3. Responsive: trajectories are dynamic; students move between On Track and Needs Attention. The system tracks trajectory, not students.

Impact is evidenced through improved progression outcomes, early identification of off-track trajectories, learner-facing SRL engagement, 30+ peer-reviewed outputs (IEEE, ACM, Springer Nature), and international recognition (DELTA 2022; Dataiku 2022; LAK 2024). The 2026/27 TEF-funded matched-cohort study will extend the evidence base toward causal inference, with ongoing engagement on the implications of the EU AI Act for educational analytics.

Additional Information
ImageImage
PDFREAL-Analytics_Exemplar-visuals.pdf
LicenceCC BY-NC-SA
Date Added20 May 2026
Full Case Study PDFFull-case-study-REAL_Analytics_Poster_combined.pdf